It’s cut day across the NFL, meaning the news will be filled with reports of players having not made their team’s 53 man roster. Whether it’s an aging veteran who saw father time catch up to him or a raw youngster who still needs time, it’s a tough day for any player who does not make the roster. The Seattle Seahawks are no different, as they will be trimming the roster down to 53, and got a head start on Friday with a handful of decisions already becoming known.
So, it’s time for one last 53 man roster projection, but this one isn’t mine. This is a consolidation of the predictions of eight writers who cover the Seahawks and their most recent projections. Those whose predictions were included in the survey were:
- Joe Fann of NBC Sports Northwest,
- Bob Condotta of the Seattle Times,
- Alistair Corp of Field Gulls,
- Gregg Bell of the News Tribune,
- Andy Patton of Seahawks Wire,
- Rob Staton of Seahawks Draft Blog,
- Brady Henderson of ESPN and
- Michael-Shawn Dugar of The Athletic.
The way I did it is as follows:
I started by looking at all the projections, and any play who made all 8 rosters is automatically on this final roster. That immediately filled out 41 of the 53 spots, and from there, the 12 final spots went to the players who had the most votes, without the number of players at a specific position getting out of control. For example, there were eight defensive linemen who got eight votes, while there were five linebackers who received all eight votes. The team often carries six or seven linebackers and nine or ten defensive linemen, so to determine the extra involves looking at how many votes other players received, starting with players who got seven votes and working down. Once a roster group is full, then no matter how many players from that group we come across as we work our way down the list, that position group can no longer take any more players.
To determine the maximum number of players for any group, I’ll simply look at the maximum number of players that have been on an initial 53 man roster for the Seahawks in the time that Pete Carroll and John Schneider have been with the Hawks. Luckily having put together this piece that looked at historical roster construction patterns for the Hawks, We are able to pull together this information pretty quickly.
In any case, here is what this roster looks like (Unanimous selections in bold, others noted with how many of the eight votes they received in parentheses).
Russel Wilson and Geno Smith
Running Back (6)
Wide Receiver (5)
Tight End (3)
Offensive Line (9)
Defensive Line (9)
Defensive Backs (10)
And so there’s the prediction for the roster when putting together all the different pieces from all the different 53 man projections. Of course, with injuries to both Moore and Metcalf, that roster is likely light at wide receiver, which is a result of disagreement between who would snag the last spot or two. Jazz Ferguson and Gary Jennings each tallied three votes, leaving them just shy of making it, while Keenan Reynolds got two votes and Malik Turner received one. Only Ursua was enough of a consensus to break through and make it.
Versatile, if not very good, offensive lineman Marcus Martin was the other player who missed making the cut by a single vote, while Jamie Meder, Branden Jackson, Shaquem Griffin and DeShawn Shead each fell two votes short.
In any case, it’s only a matter of hours until cuts are revealed, and even if the Seahawks are slow in making their announcement, just as they have traditionally been in years past, we’ll know before we go to bed on Saturday night where the team stands on its roster.